Positively sloped yield curves are termed "normal" and negatively sloped yield curves are termed "inverted". The US business cycle has an unusual feature, an absence of soft landings. A soft landing ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Imagine you're at a fair, and you see a booth with a giant dartboard. The booth owner challenges you to hit the bullseye. You take your shot, and the dart lands somewhere on the board. Now imagine ...

As we count down to this month’s meetings of the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, both of which are expected to maintain their monetary easing stance, the U.S. yield curve has been ...

Gaussian curves, normal curves and bell curves are synonymous. Each represents how statistical data with normal distribution plots on a graph. Normal distribution describes a particular way statistics ...

Investors are feeling better about the economy, but the yield curve has already predicted a recession. By Matt Phillips The message from Wall Street is clear: The American economy is not in the kind ...